---
title: "The Art, Science, and Technol… | Insights — Lyoen & Partners"
url: https://lyoenandpartners.com/insights/the-art-science-and-technology-of-geopolitical-scenario-planning
description: "A McKinsey survey of C-suite leaders found that fewer than one-third rate their geopolitical risk management as mature, and only 5 percent have run simula…"
lang: en-US
---

Skip to content

Skip to main content

← Insights: https://lyoenandpartners.com/insights

Tuesday, June 9, 2026risk

# The Art, Science, and Technology of Geopolitical Scenario Planning

A McKinsey survey of C-suite leaders found that fewer than one-third rate their geopolitical risk management as mature, and only 5 percent have run simulations to stress-test their exposure—yet 53 percent say scenario planning and real-time intelligence modeling would significantly strengthen resilience. The article provides a structured playbook covering horizon scanning, scenario development, contingency planning, tabletop exercises, and AI-enabled foresight tools, with explicit guidance on focusing scenario work on risk appetite rather than probability assignment. For SEA boards operating across volatile trade corridors, this is a directly actionable framework for upgrading their strategic decision rehearsal process.

Sources

McKinsey & Company (https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/geopolitics/our-insights/the-art-science-and-technology-of-geopolitical-scenario-planning)

Topic: Decision Quality: https://lyoenandpartners.com/insights/topic/decision-quality

## Structured data

```json
[
  {
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@type": "WebSite",
    "name": "Lyoen & Partners",
    "url": "https://lyoenandpartners.com"
  },
  {
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@type": "Organization",
    "name": "Lyoen and Partners Limited",
    "alternateName": "L&P",
    "url": "https://lyoenandpartners.com",
    "logo": "https://lyoenandpartners.com/apple-touch-icon.png",
    "description": "Fractional governance consulting and Board Operating System for mid-market CEOs and scale-up founders in Southeast Asia.",
    "foundingDate": "2024",
    "founder": {
      "@type": "Person",
      "name": "Sylvain Lyoen"
    },
    "address": {
      "@type": "PostalAddress",
      "addressLocality": "Wan Chai",
      "addressRegion": "Hong Kong"
    },
    "sameAs": [
      "https://www.linkedin.com/in/slyoen",
      "https://www.linkedin.com/company/lyoen-and-partners",
      "https://x.com/slyoen"
    ]
  },
  {
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@type": "Article",
    "headline": "The Art, Science, and Technology of Geopolitical Scenario Planning",
    "description": "A McKinsey survey of C-suite leaders found that fewer than one-third rate their geopolitical risk management as mature, and only 5 percent have run simulations to stress-test their exposure—yet 53 percent say scenario planning and real-time intelligence modeling would significantly strengthen resilience. The article provides a structured playbook covering horizon scanning, scenario development, contingency planning, tabletop exercises, and AI-enabled foresight tools, with explicit guidance on focusing scenario work on risk appetite rather than probability assignment. For SEA boards operating across volatile trade corridors, this is a directly actionable framework for upgrading their strategic decision rehearsal process.",
    "datePublished": "2026-06-09",
    "url": "https://lyoenandpartners.com/insights/the-art-science-and-technology-of-geopolitical-scenario-planning",
    "author": {
      "@type": "Organization",
      "name": "Lyoen & Partners Limited"
    },
    "publisher": {
      "@type": "Organization",
      "name": "Lyoen & Partners Limited",
      "url": "https://lyoenandpartners.com"
    }
  },
  {
    "@context": "https://schema.org",
    "@type": "BreadcrumbList",
    "itemListElement": [
      {
        "@type": "ListItem",
        "position": 1,
        "name": "Home",
        "item": "https://lyoenandpartners.com/"
      },
      {
        "@type": "ListItem",
        "position": 2,
        "name": "Insights",
        "item": "https://lyoenandpartners.com/insights"
      },
      {
        "@type": "ListItem",
        "position": 3,
        "name": "The Art, Science, and Technology of Geopolitical Scenario Planning",
        "item": "https://lyoenandpartners.com/insights/the-art-science-and-technology-of-geopolitical-scenario-planning"
      }
    ]
  }
]
```