Scenario planning no longer cuts it. Here's what to replace it with
Fast Company (Jun 27, 2024) "Scenario planning no longer cuts it. Here's what to replace it with" argues traditional scenario planning emerged in a more stable era and now misses the mark — leaders face overlapping disruptions in climate, technology, society and geopolitics that interact and accelerate one another, while the 2x2 model forces complexity into four tidy boxes. The proposed alternative is the Spectrum Foresight Framework: Spectrum Shaping uses vivid, layered vignettes of possible futures, grounded in Spectrum Layer Analysis — a seven-layer method that brings emotional, systemic and symbolic depth to each imagined world. Unlike archetype- or quadrant-based methods, Spectrum Scenarios are multilayered, emotionally resonant and systemically grounded. Useful structural alternative for SEA mid-market boards bored of base/best/worst-case decks.
Sources
Fast Company